907 Colorado Rockies +141
Going to take a shot on the Rockies here. Gallardo is tough to hit but he doesn't mind walking you and Rockies lineup has some decent numbers against him. He throws a ton of pitches but not a ton of innings and that might mean Brewers bullpen. I admit that I expect the brewers Pen to bounce back this year but they can hardly be considered reliable.
Chacin is embracing the role of opening day pitcher and of course prefers to be away from Coors but not coming off the greatest tail end of the Spring so there is some concern there.
Ramirez is terrible Braun protection (assuming he is) … and price is inflated. Chacin also a short innings pitcher btw ... so those of you with 2H betting options might want to take a look at that over as a possibility. Going with the Rockies and an over umpire would help the cause for the away team.
Some quick thoughts on the other games:
· A J Burnett is certainly a player that I look to fade as the year progresses. He is older and has not just hinted at retirement but has all but declared this will be his last year. The Pirates don’t rate to inspire him as the season wears on … but there are quite a few reasons that I cannot go against here. The season opener IS something he may care about and there are some other factors on his side. He has been a great April Pitcher the last few years and his day/night splits are pretty dramatic in favor of the day over that same span. He has some decent numbers vs. some key Cubby bats as well. Certainly cannot back him against a better pitcher with a minus sign so will wait for a better situation/spot to go against.
· As a handicapper, I usually create my line and then compare it to market afterwards. After I made the Marlins at Washington line, I thought to myself that there was no way that they could make the Nats a big enough favorite. I was wrong. Any value in that game is with the Marlins but I have no interest in backing them here. It is still baseball --- Nats ace could pitch a dandy and lose --- it isn’t like Nolasco has never had a good outing. I hate the situation … excited fanbase on opening day with the stud pitcher who they held from the playoffs for the long term on the hill … tough for the fish. You will never see me lay this kind of a number in a baseball game.
Going to take a shot on the Rockies here. Gallardo is tough to hit but he doesn't mind walking you and Rockies lineup has some decent numbers against him. He throws a ton of pitches but not a ton of innings and that might mean Brewers bullpen. I admit that I expect the brewers Pen to bounce back this year but they can hardly be considered reliable.
Chacin is embracing the role of opening day pitcher and of course prefers to be away from Coors but not coming off the greatest tail end of the Spring so there is some concern there.
Ramirez is terrible Braun protection (assuming he is) … and price is inflated. Chacin also a short innings pitcher btw ... so those of you with 2H betting options might want to take a look at that over as a possibility. Going with the Rockies and an over umpire would help the cause for the away team.
Some quick thoughts on the other games:
· A J Burnett is certainly a player that I look to fade as the year progresses. He is older and has not just hinted at retirement but has all but declared this will be his last year. The Pirates don’t rate to inspire him as the season wears on … but there are quite a few reasons that I cannot go against here. The season opener IS something he may care about and there are some other factors on his side. He has been a great April Pitcher the last few years and his day/night splits are pretty dramatic in favor of the day over that same span. He has some decent numbers vs. some key Cubby bats as well. Certainly cannot back him against a better pitcher with a minus sign so will wait for a better situation/spot to go against.
· As a handicapper, I usually create my line and then compare it to market afterwards. After I made the Marlins at Washington line, I thought to myself that there was no way that they could make the Nats a big enough favorite. I was wrong. Any value in that game is with the Marlins but I have no interest in backing them here. It is still baseball --- Nats ace could pitch a dandy and lose --- it isn’t like Nolasco has never had a good outing. I hate the situation … excited fanbase on opening day with the stud pitcher who they held from the playoffs for the long term on the hill … tough for the fish. You will never see me lay this kind of a number in a baseball game.
